Ball State vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 10:20 AM
  • Toledo (8-7) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Ball State (8-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Ball State / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (8-5) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (8-7) on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Toledo Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+10.5 -110O 150.5 -110+450
Toledo -10.5 -110U 150.5 -110-650

Ball State vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / 0% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 42% free throw rate (1,086 free throw attempts/2,608 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has 23.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Ball State is shooting 37% from three (114/308) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ball State has averaged 1.36 points per shot (3,555 points/2,608 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 83.6 points per game (4,179 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,483/3,024) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (708 assists/ 498 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 83.6 points per game (4,179 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (353 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Ball State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (78 steals/15 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Ball State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (254 steals/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,128 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,132 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,132 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo has 347 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (325 rebounds/15 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.