Baylor vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

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BYU guard Jaxson Robinson shoots during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Gonzaga, Saturday, Feb. 11, 2023, in Spokane, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 20, 2024, 12:01 PM
  • BYU (14-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Baylor (15-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Baylor / BYU TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears (15-7) visit Marriott Center to take on the BYU Cougars (14-11) on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Provo, UT.

BYU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Baylor vs. BYU Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+4.5 -115O 154.5 -105+155
BYU -4.5 -105U 154.5 -115-190

Baylor vs BYU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this college basketball game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 15-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.3 Units / 27.7% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 8.95% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.82% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.25 Units / -12.4% ROI

BYU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

BYU has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.72% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -8.53% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has made 12.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

BYU has attempted 726 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

BYU has made 127 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among Big 12 Teams

BYU has made 263 three-pointers this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends:

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (250/652) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

BYU has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (436/1,060) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 44%

BYU has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,530 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

BYU has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (650 points/652 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.10


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.