Baylor vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 26, 2024, 10:16 AM
  • TCU (17-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Baylor (15-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Baylor / TCU TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears (15-9) visit Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (17-10) on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Fort Worth, TX.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Baylor vs. TCU Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+2.5 -110O 148.5 -110+120
TCU -2.5 -110U 148.5 -110-145

Baylor vs TCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+2.65 Units / 9% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 17.86% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 5.63% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 2.26% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -11.8% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 17-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6 Units / 20.17% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 3.52% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.