Baylor vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:18 AM
  • Baylor (11-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs UCF (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Baylor / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Baylor Bears (11-6) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (11-8) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Baylor vs. UCF Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor-2.5 -115O 139.5 -110-150
UCF +2.5 -105U 139.5 -110+125

Baylor vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.4 Units / 22.22% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 3.38% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.05 Units / 5.25% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -2.95 Units / -15.05% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.35 Units / 16.96% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -25.31% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 17.22% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor is shooting 38% from three (485/1,274) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor has averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,133 points/3,039 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (894/2,144) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (218 assists/ 234 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (218 assists/ 234 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (734/988) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% on catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 163 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.