Belmont vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
  • Murray State (12-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Belmont (13-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Belmont / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Belmont Bruins (13-15) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (12-16) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Belmont vs. Murray State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Belmont vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Belmont+2.5 -115O 149.5 -105+115
Murray State -2.5 -105U 149.5 -115-135

Belmont vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Belmont vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 19.06% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.65 Units / -18.31% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -19.93% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -11.59% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.78% ROI

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont is shooting 38% from three (519/1,358) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (172 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Belmont has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Belmont has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (232 turnovers/25 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Murray State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (578 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has averaged 7.7 steals per game (184 steals/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Belmont has averaged 7.3 steals per game (409 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Belmont has 184 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has 409 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has 153 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (328 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has forced 11.4 turnovers per game (652 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (465/1,367) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.