Boise State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

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Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 6:43 PM
  • Boise State (13-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Air Force (8-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Boise State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos (13-11) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (8-18) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-9.5 -110O 134.5 -115-500
Air Force +9.5 -110U 134.5 -105+375

Boise State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 3.64% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 11.32% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.91% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.38% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 8-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.94% ROI
  • 19-7 when betting the Over for +11.3 Units / 39.65% ROI
  • 7-19 when betting the Under for -14 Units / -48.78% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 35% from three (169/487) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State is shooting 46% (573/1,255) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (659 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.9 points per game (1,494 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Air Force is shooting 46% (524/1,147) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Air Force has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (197/532) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (128/426) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,645 points/3,142 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State has allowed 65.8 points per game (1,447 points/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Boise State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,548 points/1,170 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,694 points/2,888 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.