Boise State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
  • Boise State (13-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Air Force (8-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Boise State / Air Force TV channel: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos (13-11) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (8-18) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-9.5 -110O 134.5 -115-500
Air Force +9.5 -110U 134.5 -105+375

Boise State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.30 Units / 4% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 3.64% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 11.32% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.91% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.38% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 8-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.94% ROI
  • 19-7 when betting the Over for +11.3 Units / 39.65% ROI
  • 7-19 when betting the Under for -14 Units / -48.78% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 35% from three (169/487) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State is shooting 46% (573/1,255) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (659 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 67.9 points per game (1,494 points/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.2

Air Force is shooting 46% (524/1,147) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Air Force has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (197/532) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (128/426) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,645 points/3,142 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State has allowed 65.8 points per game (1,447 points/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Boise State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (1,548 points/1,170 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (489 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,694 points/2,888 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Air Force has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.