Boise State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 12, 2024, 9:27 AM
  • Nevada (11-4) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Boise State (6-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Boise State / Nevada TV channel: FS1

The Boise State Broncos (6-6) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (11-4) on Jan. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Reno, NV.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Boise State vs. Nevada Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State+6.5 -115O 140.5 -115+220
Nevada -6.5 -105U 140.5 -105-275

Boise State vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 5-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / 0% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 12-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.75 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.95 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 0% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 35% from three (112/323) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State is shooting 46% (397/864) this season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (579 assists/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Boise State has made 112 three-pointers this season — tied for 5th fewest among Mountain West Teams

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (482 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Nevada is shooting 77% from the free throw line (863/1,123) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73%

Nevada has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (225 assists/ 145 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Nevada has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (482 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Boise State has allowed 64.9 points per game (3,178 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 70.9

Boise State has allowed 65.3 points per game (980 points/15 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 68.3

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (980 points/831 shots) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (444 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.8

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,014 points/908 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (16/64) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Nevada has allowed 63.4 points per game (1,014 points/16 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 68.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.