Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:16 AM
  • San Diego State (12-16) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Boise State (15-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Boise State / San Diego State TV channel: FS1

The Boise State Broncos (15-12) visit Viejas Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (12-16) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Diego, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Boise State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State+7.5 -105O 135.5 -110+275
San Diego State -7.5 -115U 135.5 -110-350

Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in their last 21 games at home (+21.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.17% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 9.58% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 2.11% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.38% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / -18.15% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 8.67% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.45 Units / -4.7% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State is shooting 35% from three (169/487) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Boise State is shooting 46% (573/1,255) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Boise State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (659 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Boise State has averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.4

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (627/1,393) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has 22.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (128/426) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,645 points/3,142 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Boise State has allowed 65.8 points per game (1,447 points/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Boise State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,443/3,522) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.