Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Western Michigan player number 22 dribbling a basketball and looking focused.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:51 AM
  • Western Michigan (16-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green (13-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Bowling Green / Western Michigan TV channel: ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons (13-14) visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (16-12) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Kalamazoo, MI.

Western Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+1.5 -110O 145.5 -110+105
Western Michigan -1.5 -110U 145.5 -110-125

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.89% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.25 Units / -0.84% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.07% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -10.22% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.35% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.75 Units / 2.44% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (168/545) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Bowling Green has averaged 1.27 points per shot (4,190 points/3,311 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Bowling Green is shooting 45% (647/1,452) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (272 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has 272 offensive rebounds this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (610 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green has averaged 6.6 steals per game (159 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Bowling Green has 347 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has 159 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (547 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (276 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Western Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Western Michigan has averaged 5.5 steals per game (133 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.