Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:15 AM
  • Bowling Green (9-11) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (6-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Buffalo / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls (6-14) visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (9-11) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Bowling Green, OH.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+12.5 -110O 150.5 -105+575
Bowling Green -12.5 -110U 150.5 -115-800

Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 7-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.3 Units / -33.26% ROI).

  • 3-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -45.84% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Over for -6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Under for +4.3 Units / 19.55% ROI

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.1 Units / -14.06% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 6.61% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 41% (479/1,183) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (133/505) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (133/505) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 30% from three (356/1,200) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has made 7.3 three-pointers per game this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Bowling Green has a TS% of 46% this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 47%

Bowling Green has 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (160/509) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,268 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Buffalo has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Buffalo has averaged 7.2 steals per game (377 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Buffalo has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/20 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.7

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Bowling Green has averaged 6.6 steals per game (146 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Bowling Green has averaged 6.3 steals per game (334 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Bowling Green has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,305 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.