Buffalo vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 1

Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • Penn State is a -28.5 point favorite vs Buffalo
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Buffalo / Penn State TV channel: BTN

The Buffalo Bulls visit Bryce Jordan Center to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions on Dec. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in University Park, PA.

Penn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Penn State Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+28.5 -110O 161.5 -110+
Penn State -28.5 -110U 161.5 -110+

Buffalo vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 66.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+14.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 50% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 3.3% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (430 turnovers/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo shot 28% from three (199/715) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Buffalo had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (388 assists/ 430 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,114 points/938 shots) in the first half last season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Penn State shot 75% from the free throw line (502/671) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Penn State shot 74% from the free throw line (209/283) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Penn State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (197 assists/ 171 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo allowed 79.9 points per game (2,396 points/30 games) last season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (695 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo forced 10.2 turnovers per game (306 turnovers/30 games) last season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Buffalo allowed opponents to shoot 47% (884/1,866) last season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (731 rebounds/32 games) last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State stole the ball 266 times last season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Penn State averaged 8.3 steals per game (266 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.