Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:22 PM
  • Toledo (8-8) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (5-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Buffalo / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls (5-10) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (8-8) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Toledo Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+15.5 -110O 154.5 -110+900
Toledo -15.5 -110U 154.5 -110-1600

Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / -100% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (101/391) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 26% from three (101/391) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 41% (389/937) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo has averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/16 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (718 assists/ 502 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,510/3,085) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,256 points/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,256 points/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has 355 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo has averaged 7.4 steals per game (355 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Buffalo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (481/990) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Buffalo has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,181 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (344 rebounds/16 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,151 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Toledo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,151 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Toledo has 119 steals this season — 2nd most among Mid-American Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.