Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:30 AM
  • Long Beach State (10-11) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (10-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Cal Poly / Long Beach State TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (10-13) visit Walter Pyramid to take on the Long Beach State Beach (10-11) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Long Beach, CA.

Long Beach State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Cal Poly vs. Long Beach State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+14.5 -115O 144.5 -110+750
Long Beach State -14.5 -105U 144.5 -110-1200

Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Long Beach State will win this college basketball game with 93.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Long Beach State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games at home (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 3-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -55.31% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -12.65% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI

Long Beach State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Long Beach State has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -8.89% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 21.85% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.33% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.45 Units / -36.5% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 61.6 points per game (3,510 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Cal Poly has averaged 62.7 points per game (1,504 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Cal Poly has a TS% of 43% this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Cal Poly has an eFG% of 45% this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Long Beach State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Long Beach State has averaged 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (616 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 8.8

Long Beach State has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 20.4

Long Beach State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (851/1,246) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72%

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Long Beach State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has allowed 75.6 points per game (4,160 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 68.8

Long Beach State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (433 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Long Beach State has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,430 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Long Beach State has averaged 25.3 defensive rebounds per game (556 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.