Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 29

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UC Santa Barbara guard Ajay Mitchell, right, looks to pass as Baylor guard Dale Bonner defends in the first half of a first-round college basketball game in the men's NCAA Tournament Friday, March 17, 2023, in Denver.
(AP Photo/John Leyba)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 29, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • UC Santa Barbara (9-14) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Cal Poly / UC Santa Barbara TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (12-15) visit Thunderdome to take on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (9-14) on Feb. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Santa Barbara, CA.

UC Santa Barbara is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Cal Poly vs. UC Santa Barbara Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Cal Poly vs. UC Santa Barbara Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+13.5 -110O 135.5 -105+750
UC Santa Barbara -13.5 -110U 135.5 -115-1200

Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Santa Barbara will win this college basketball game with 92.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs UC Santa Barbara Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UC Santa Barbara will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly and all games with BetMGM


  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UC Santa Barbara has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UC Santa Barbara has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • UC Santa Barbara has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.86% ROI).

  • 3-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -61.92% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.05% ROI

UC Santa Barbara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Santa Barbara has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -28.36% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -11.85% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.3% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 62.7 points per game (1,504 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Cal Poly has averaged 9.9 assists per game (238 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Cal Poly has averaged 10.2 assists per game (579 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cal Poly has averaged 61.6 points per game (3,510 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 70.5

UC Santa Barbara Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Santa Barbara is shooting 38% from three (135/356) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 7.5 offensive rebounds per game (164 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 9.1

UC Santa Barbara is shooting 50% (1,531/3,069) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 44%

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,204 points/3,069 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC Santa Barbara Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 4.4 steals per game (96 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC Santa Barbara has forced 9.5 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (573 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 5.6 steals per game (317 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.