Cal State Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:59 PM
  • Cal State Bakersfield (14-13) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (13-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Cal State Bakersfield / Cal Poly TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners (14-13) visit Robert A. Mott Athletics Center to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (13-15) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Luis Obispo, CA.

Cal State Bakersfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal Poly Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal State Bakersfield-5.5 -115O 128.5 -110-275
Cal Poly +5.5 -105U 128.5 -110+200

Cal State Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cal State Bakersfield will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal State Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal Poly will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Cal State Bakersfield have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 31 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Cal State Bakersfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal State Bakersfield has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -7.2% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.07% ROI).

  • 3-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -63.28% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -7.49% ROI

Cal State Bakersfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Bakersfield has made 4.3 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Cal State Bakersfield is shooting 30% from three (95/318) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Cal State Bakersfield has made 4.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Cal State Bakersfield has an eFG% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 50%

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 62.7 points per game (1,504 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Cal Poly has averaged 9.9 assists per game (238 assists/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Cal Poly has averaged 10.2 assists per game (579 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cal Poly has averaged 61.6 points per game (3,510 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 70.5

Cal State Bakersfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,184 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (478 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 7.1 steals per game (156 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Cal State Bakersfield has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (145/431) this season — 4th highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal Poly has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (507 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Cal Poly has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.