Cal State Bakersfield vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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UC Santa Barbara guard Ajay Mitchell, right, looks to pass as Baylor guard Dale Bonner defends in the first half of a first-round college basketball game in the men's NCAA Tournament Friday, March 17, 2023, in Denver.
(AP Photo/John Leyba)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • UC Santa Barbara (4-7) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Cal State Bakersfield [team_underdog_record]
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Cal State Bakersfield / UC Santa Barbara TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners [team_away_record] visit Thunderdome to take on the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (4-7) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Santa Barbara, CA.

UC Santa Barbara is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Cal State Bakersfield vs. UC Santa Barbara Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Cal State Bakersfield vs. UC Santa Barbara Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal State Bakersfield+9.5 -115O 140.5 -115+340
UC Santa Barbara -9.5 -105U 140.5 -105-450

Cal State Bakersfield vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Santa Barbara will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal State Bakersfield vs UC Santa Barbara Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cal State Bakersfield will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Cal State Bakersfield has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UC Santa Barbara has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • UC Santa Barbara has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Cal State Bakersfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal State Bakersfield has a 4-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / 0% ROI

UC Santa Barbara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Santa Barbara has a 4-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / 0% ROI

Cal State Bakersfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Bakersfield has made 4.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Cal State Bakersfield has a 31% free throw rate (259 free throw attempts/833 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Cal State Bakersfield has a TS% of 44% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 46%

Cal State Bakersfield has a TS% of 45% this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 47%

UC Santa Barbara Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Santa Barbara is shooting 50% (1,322/2,649) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 44%

UC Santa Barbara is shooting 61% from inside the arc (225/367) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UC Santa Barbara has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 47%

UC Santa Barbara has an eFG% of 57% this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal State Bakersfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (294 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,000 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal State Bakersfield has allowed an average of 1.34 points per shot (997 points/746 shots) this season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Cal State Bakersfield has averaged 6.6 steals per game (93 steals/14 games) this season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC Santa Barbara Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 3.7 steals per game (52 steals/14 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,178 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

UC Santa Barbara has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (387 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UC Santa Barbara has forced 8.9 turnovers per game (124 turnovers/14 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 12.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.