California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • Tarleton State (15-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs California Baptist (9-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • California Baptist / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The California Baptist Lancers (9-15) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (15-8) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The California Baptist vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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California Baptist vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California Baptist+5.5 -110O 133.5 -110+200
Tarleton State -5.5 -110U 133.5 -110-250

California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

California Baptist vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts California Baptist will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • California Baptist has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • California Baptist has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.10 Units / 4% ROI)

California Baptist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California Baptist has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -28.14% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -10.95% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -12.14% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 3.59% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 15-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 44.44% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

California Baptist Offensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist is shooting 67% from the free throw line (724/1,080) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

California Baptist has averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,800 points/3,153 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

California Baptist is shooting 67% from the free throw line (724/1,080) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 71%

California Baptist has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (715 assists/ 653 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Tarleton State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

California Baptist Defensive Stats & Trends:

California Baptist has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (289/938) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

California Baptist has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,570 points/3,086 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (531 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (899 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Tarleton State has 531 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th most among Division 1 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.