Central Arkansas vs Bellarmine Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Bellarmine coach Scott Davenport reacts to a play during the first half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2022. (AP Photo/James Crisp)
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 11:48 AM
  • Bellarmine (7-17) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Central Arkansas (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Central Arkansas / Bellarmine TV channel: ESPN+

The Central Arkansas Bears (14-13) visit Freedom Hall to take on the Bellarmine Knights (7-17) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Bellarmine is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Central Arkansas vs. Bellarmine Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Arkansas+4.5 -110O 142.5 -110+165
Bellarmine -4.5 -110U 142.5 -110-200

Central Arkansas vs Bellarmine Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bellarmine will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Central Arkansas vs Bellarmine Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Bellarmine will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Central Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+15.05 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bellarmine have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bellarmine has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bellarmine has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bellarmine has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.30 Units / 48% ROI)

Central Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Central Arkansas has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 39.14% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.03% ROI

Bellarmine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bellarmine has a 6-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.7 Units / -48.11% ROI).

  • 3-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -62.99% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Central Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Central Arkansas has averaged 1.15 points per shot (4,118 points/3,589 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Central Arkansas has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 52%

Central Arkansas is shooting 33% from three (472/1,429) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 35%

Central Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (738 assists/ 728 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Bellarmine Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bellarmine has 13.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Bellarmine has a 22% free throw rate (316 free throw attempts/1,417 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Bellarmine has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (170 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Bellarmine has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (367 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Central Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Central Arkansas has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Central Arkansas has allowed 79.6 points per game (4,535 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Central Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (240/653) this season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Central Arkansas has allowed 77.2 points per game (2,008 points/26 games) this season — 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Bellarmine Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bellarmine has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Bellarmine has allowed 9.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Bellarmine has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,261 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Bellarmine has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (185/369) this season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.