Central Arkansas vs North Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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North Florida head coach Matthew Driscoll reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox),
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox),
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 10:37 AM
  • North Florida (13-9) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Central Arkansas (13-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Central Arkansas / North Florida TV channel: ESPN+

The Central Arkansas Bears (13-11) visit UNF Arena to take on the North Florida Ospreys (13-9) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.

North Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Central Arkansas vs. North Florida Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Central Arkansas vs. North Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Arkansas+11.5 -110O 151.5 -110+475
North Florida -11.5 -110U 151.5 -110-650

Central Arkansas vs North Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Florida will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Central Arkansas vs North Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Central Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Central Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 away games (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Central Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Florida have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Central Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Central Arkansas has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 30.37% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.2 Units / -15.91% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 7.95% ROI

North Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Florida has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.83% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1.05 Units / 4.35% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.2% ROI

Central Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Central Arkansas has averaged 1.15 points per shot (4,039 points/3,527 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Central Arkansas has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Central Arkansas has averaged 1.15 points per shot (4,039 points/3,527 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Central Arkansas has a TS% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

North Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Florida has made 12.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

North Florida has made 11.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

North Florida has an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Florida has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Central Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Central Arkansas has 390 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Atlantic Sun Teams

Central Arkansas has allowed 79.6 points per game (4,458 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Central Arkansas has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Central Arkansas has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

North Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three (43/92) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Florida has averaged 5.3 steals per game (291 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Florida has allowed 76.4 points per game (4,203 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

North Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,584/3,435) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.