Cincinnati vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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Baylor basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • Baylor (18-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Cincinnati (17-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Cincinnati / Baylor TV channel: ESPN+

The Cincinnati Bearcats (17-16) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Baylor Bears (18-10) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Cincinnati vs. Baylor Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Cincinnati vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati+6.5 -110O 140.5 -105+230
Baylor -6.5 -110U 140.5 -115-300

Cincinnati vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cincinnati vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 16-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.55 Units / -4.28% ROI).

  • 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.71% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -1.66% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Under for -2.75 Units / -7.57% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 18-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7 Units / 21.24% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 8.21% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.45 Units / 1.36% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -10.82% ROI

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (305 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (885 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has averaged 15.5 assists per game (885 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cincinnati has 305 offensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,509 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,908 points/3,362 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Cincinnati has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.