Cincinnati vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:57 AM
  • Oklahoma (15-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Cincinnati (14-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Cincinnati / Oklahoma TV channel: ESPN+

The Cincinnati Bearcats (14-15) visit Lloyd Noble Center to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (15-14) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Norman, OK.

Oklahoma is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Cincinnati vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Cincinnati vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati+5.5 -105O 138.5 -110+185
Oklahoma -5.5 -115U 138.5 -110-225

Cincinnati vs Oklahoma Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cincinnati vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+14.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Cincinnati Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cincinnati has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.45 Units / -10.83% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -2.28% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has a 15-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 2.46% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -14.29% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.32% ROI

Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (305 rebounds/21 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Cincinnati has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (885 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Cincinnati has averaged 15.5 assists per game (885 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Cincinnati has 305 offensive rebounds this season — 2nd most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma had 110 turnovers in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/18 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Oklahoma shot 47% (189/405) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cincinnati has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,509 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cincinnati has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,908 points/3,362 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Cincinnati has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (63/244) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (140/494) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Oklahoma allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (69 points/57 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.