Colorado State vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
  • March Madness First Four betting odds & predictions
  • Colorado State (16-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Virginia (17-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 120.5 points
  • Colorado State / Virginia TV channel: truTV

The Colorado State Rams (16-16) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-15) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Dayton, OH.

Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Colorado State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 120.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State-2.5 -105O 120.5 -110-145
Virginia +2.5 -115U 120.5 -110+120

Colorado State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 56.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Colorado State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has a 14-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / -16.43% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.32% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -19.49% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 10.21% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 18-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI).

  • 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 5.06% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -13.68% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.43% ROI

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

Colorado State has an eFG% of 58% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (453 assists/ 235 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colorado State has averaged 19.7 assists per game (453 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has allowed 67.8 points per game (1,559 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Colorado State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,559 points/1,311 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Colorado State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,387 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.