Dayton vs Saint Joseph’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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Houston guard Ramon Walker Jr. (3) drives to the basket against Saint Joseph's guard Cameron Brown (3) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game at the Veterans Classic, Friday, Nov. 11, 2022, in Annapolis, Md.
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:09 AM
  • Dayton (11-9) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Saint Joseph’s (13-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Dayton / Saint Joseph’s TV channel: CBSSN

The Dayton Flyers (11-9) visit Hagan Arena to take on the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (13-9) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. Saint Joseph’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton-1.5 -115O 142.5 -110-135
Saint Joseph’s +1.5 -105U 142.5 -110+110

Dayton vs Saint Joseph’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs Saint Joseph’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Joseph’s will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Saint Joseph’s has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Saint Joseph’s have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Saint Joseph’s have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Saint Joseph’s has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Saint Joseph’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 4.76% ROI).

  • 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.2 Units / 14.25% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.15 Units / -9.27% ROI

Saint Joseph’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Joseph’s has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.05 Units / 4.35% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -25.02% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (823 assists/ 606 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (188/470) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton is shooting 40% from three (188/470) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (305 assists/ 195 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Saint Joseph’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Joseph’s has made 230 three-pointers this season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Saint Joseph’s has scored 1,713 points this season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Saint Joseph’s has made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Saint Joseph’s has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,356 points/3,147 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Dayton has averaged 5.1 steals per game (273 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Dayton has averaged 5.5 steals per game (110 steals/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,356 points/3,147 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Saint Joseph’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Joseph’s has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Saint Joseph’s has 152 steals this season — 4th most among Atlantic 10 Teams

Saint Joseph’s has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (536/1,331) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Saint Joseph’s has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.