Denver vs St. Thomas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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St. Thomas head coach Johnny Tauer instructs players from the sideline as they play against Creighton during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game on Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Omaha, Neb. (AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
(AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:50 PM
  • St. Thomas (15-11) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Denver (11-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Denver / St. Thomas TV channel: ESPN+

The Denver Pioneers (11-13) visit Schoenecker Arena to take on the St. Thomas Tommies (15-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in St. Paul, MN.

St. Thomas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Denver vs. St. Thomas Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Denver vs. St. Thomas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+8.5 -110O 154.5 -110+350
St. Thomas -8.5 -110U 154.5 -110-450

Denver vs St. Thomas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts St. Thomas will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs St. Thomas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts St. Thomas will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • St. Thomas (MN) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.25 Units / -11.4% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • 19-6 when betting the Over for +12.4 Units / 43.36% ROI
  • 6-19 when betting the Under for -14.9 Units / -52.1% ROI

St. Thomas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

St. Thomas has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 9.6% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -5.19% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 85.1 points per game (2,042 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Denver has 23.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 18.2

Denver has 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.1

Denver has a 41% free throw rate (1,322 free throw attempts/3,224 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

St. Thomas Offensive Stats & Trends:

St. Thomas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (342 assists/ 210 TOs) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 1.2

St. Thomas has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

St. Thomas has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 10.6

St. Thomas has an eFG% of 56% this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 52%

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,369 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Denver has averaged 6.0 steals per game (145 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Denver has 145 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

St. Thomas Defensive Stats & Trends:

St. Thomas has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (525 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

St. Thomas has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (155/483) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 35%

St. Thomas has averaged 5.9 steals per game (338 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.5

St. Thomas has allowed 63.1 points per game (1,515 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 73.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.