Duke vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 29, 2024, 10:43 AM
  • March Madness prediction & betting odds
  • Houston (17-17) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Duke (20-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Duke / Houston TV channel: CBS

The Duke Blue Devils (20-13) visit American Airlines Center to take on the Houston Cougars (17-17) on Mar. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:39pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (+100).

The Duke vs. Houston Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Duke vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Duke+4.5 -120O 134.5 -115+155
Houston -4.5 +100U 134.5 -105-190

Duke vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Duke vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+22.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+15.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 48% ROI)

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a 20-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 15.24% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -4.76% ROI
  • 14-20 when betting the Over for -7.95 Units / -21.29% ROI
  • 20-14 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 12.28% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 18-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 1.01% ROI).

  • 22-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.4 Units / 9.34% ROI
  • 16-20 when betting the Over for -5.95 Units / -15.04% ROI
  • 20-16 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 6.05% ROI

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke is shooting 41% from three (141/341) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,016 assists/ 745 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (494 assists/ 313 TOs) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke is shooting 37% from three (264/705) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/34 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (991 assists/ 677 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Houston has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (677 turnovers/71 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Houston has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (305 turnovers/34 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,795 rebounds/68 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (4,424 points/3,914 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Duke has allowed 66.7 points per game (2,134 points/32 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,638/3,914) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 10.2 steals per game (347 steals/34 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Houston has averaged 10.2 steals per game (347 steals/34 games) this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Houston has allowed 56.5 points per game (1,921 points/34 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.9

Houston has allowed 57.0 points per game (4,047 points/71 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.