- North Carolina (13-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Duke (10-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Duke / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils (10-9) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (13-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Duke vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Duke vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | +4.5 -115 | O 151.5 -110 | +150 |
| North Carolina | -4.5 -105 | U 151.5 -110 | -185 |
Duke vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Duke vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+12.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI).
- 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -8.19% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Over for -0.95 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.54% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 13-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.15 Units / 17.89% ROI).
- 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 6.24% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.3 Units / -18.53% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 9.13% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke is shooting 44% from three (87/198) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 36%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (311 assists/ 181 TOs) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/19 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5
Duke has averaged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 617 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has a 36% free throw rate (629 free throw attempts/1,727 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%
North Carolina has averaged 82.6 points per game (1,735 points/21 games) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,460 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed 64.8 points per game (3,563 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0
Duke has allowed 64.8 points per game (3,563 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 70.3
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,563 points/3,153 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (519/1,305) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (721 points/647 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,454 points/1,305 shots) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22
North Carolina has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,563 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
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