East Carolina vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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SMU head coach Rob Lanier during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:34 AM
  • SMU (14-13) is a -12.5 point favorite vs East Carolina (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • East Carolina / SMU TV channel: ESPN+

The East Carolina Pirates (12-15) visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs (14-13) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The East Carolina vs. SMU Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+12.5 -105O 141.5 -110+600
SMU -12.5 -115U 141.5 -110-900

East Carolina vs SMU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Carolina vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -22.02% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Over for -11.85 Units / -38.54% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Under for +9.1 Units / 29.5% ROI

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.43% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -5.71% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.55 Units / -18.02% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 9.25% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina is shooting 31% from three (392/1,275) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina is shooting 29% from three (143/487) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina has averaged 68.8 points per game (1,583 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

East Carolina has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (386 assists/ 275 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (329 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (709/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 16.1 assists per game (386 assists/24 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 8.0 steals per game (184 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

East Carolina has 184 steals this season — tied for 5th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has averaged 8.0 steals per game (184 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

East Carolina has averaged 7.1 steals per game (398 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (552/1,407) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (435 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,550 points/1,407 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.