East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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South Florida guard Selton Miguel, left, drives around Auburn guard Zep Jasper during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 11, 2022, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:02 PM
  • South Florida (19-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs East Carolina (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • East Carolina / South Florida TV channel: ESPN2

The East Carolina Pirates (14-16) visit Dickies Arena to take on the South Florida Bulls (19-7) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Fort Worth, TX.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-120).

The East Carolina vs. South Florida Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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East Carolina vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+6.5 +100O 136.5 -110+260
South Florida -6.5 -120U 136.5 -110-350

East Carolina vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Carolina vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 99% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 23 games (+25.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+13.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)

East Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Carolina has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.56% ROI).

  • 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -22.7% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting the Over for -8.85 Units / -25.99% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 16.98% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 19-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.3 Units / 35.37% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 6.32% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.12% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8.05 Units / 25.27% ROI

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina is shooting 31% from three (392/1,275) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Carolina is shooting 29% from three (143/487) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

East Carolina has averaged 68.8 points per game (1,583 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

East Carolina has made 6.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 72.9 points per game (3,866 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.6

South Florida is shooting 34% from three (408/1,202) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Carolina has averaged 8.0 steals per game (184 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

East Carolina has 184 steals this season — tied for 5th most among AAC Teams

East Carolina has averaged 8.0 steals per game (184 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

East Carolina has averaged 7.1 steals per game (398 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (354 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida has 354 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed 70.7 points per game (3,746 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,294/3,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.