East Tennessee State vs Mercer Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 10:44 AM
  • Mercer (10-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs East Tennessee State (9-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • East Tennessee State / Mercer TV channel: ESPN+

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (9-10) visit Hawkins Arena to take on the Mercer Bears (10-8) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Macon, GA.

Mercer is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The East Tennessee State vs. Mercer Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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East Tennessee State vs. Mercer Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Tennessee State+1.5 -110O 138.5 -110+105
Mercer -1.5 -110U 138.5 -110-125

East Tennessee State vs Mercer Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mercer will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

East Tennessee State vs Mercer Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts East Tennessee State will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Mercer vs East Tennessee State and all games with BetMGM


  • East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • East Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mercer have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Mercer has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)

East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

East Tennessee State has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.05 Units / -9.79% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -20.94% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mercer has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 4.35% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -20.2% ROI

East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State is shooting 29% from three (153/521) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

East Tennessee State is shooting 40% (494/1,231) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

East Tennessee State has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,433 points/1,231 shots) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

East Tennessee State has averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (241 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 10.1

Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 1.20 points per shot (3,664 points/3,065 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Mercer has averaged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Mercer has 16.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Mercer has made 6.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

East Tennessee State has averaged 7.0 steals per game (140 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.5

East Tennessee State has 140 steals this season — 5th fewest among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has 335 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th fewest among Southern Teams

East Tennessee State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (335 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mercer has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Mercer has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,204 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Mercer has averaged 6.2 steals per game (326 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Mercer has 141 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among Southern Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.