Fairfield vs Manhattan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 12:17 PM
  • Fairfield (9-8) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Manhattan (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Fairfield / Manhattan TV channel: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags (9-8) visit Draddy Gymnasium to take on the Manhattan Jaspers (6-9) on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Riverdale, NY.

Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Fairfield vs. Manhattan Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Fairfield vs. Manhattan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fairfield-7.5 -110O 147.5 -110-350
Manhattan +7.5 -110U 147.5 -110+280

Fairfield vs Manhattan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fairfield will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fairfield vs Manhattan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Manhattan will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+11.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Manhattan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Manhattan has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Manhattan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 25 games (+2.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Manhattan has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 45.79% ROI
  • 13-4 when betting the Over for +8.6 Units / 46.11% ROI
  • 4-13 when betting the Under for -10.35 Units / -55.2% ROI

Manhattan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Manhattan has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.85 Units / -31.6% ROI).

  • 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -9.24% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has attempted 439 threes this season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Fairfield is shooting 54% from inside the arc (304/563) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Fairfield has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (259 assists/ 209 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Manhattan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Manhattan has a 21% free throw rate (194 free throw attempts/914 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Manhattan is shooting 40% (362/914) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Manhattan has 12.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Manhattan has averaged 1.06 points per shot (970 points/914 shots) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (415 rebounds/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Fairfield has 141 steals this season — 2nd most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,104 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.0

Fairfield has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (278/920) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Manhattan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Manhattan has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (357 rebounds/15 games) this season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Manhattan has averaged 7.7 steals per game (115 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Manhattan has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (997 rebounds/45 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.0

Manhattan has 342 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among MAAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.