Florida vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:23 AM
  • Alabama (16-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Florida (12-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 173.5 points
  • Florida / Alabama TV channel: ESPN2

The Florida Gators (12-12) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (16-9) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Alabama Over/Under is 173.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+8.5 -110O 173.5 -105+333
Alabama -8.5 -110U 173.5 -115-450

Florida vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+7.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.25 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 9.92% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 10.91% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 22.02% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 1.38% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Over for +10.3 Units / 37.39% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Under for -12.75 Units / -46.45% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Florida has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Florida has averaged 84.7 points per game (1,949 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (655 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (382 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (237 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.