Florida Gulf Coast vs North Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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North Florida head coach Matthew Driscoll reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox),
(AP Photo/Kevin M. Cox),
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:41 PM
  • North Florida (15-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Florida Gulf Coast (13-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Florida Gulf Coast / North Florida TV channel: ESPN+

The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (13-13) visit UNF Arena to take on the North Florida Ospreys (15-11) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Jacksonville, FL.

North Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Florida Gulf Coast vs. North Florida Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Florida Gulf Coast vs. North Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida Gulf Coast+3.5 -110O 143.5 -105+145
North Florida -3.5 -110U 143.5 -115-175

Florida Gulf Coast vs North Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Florida will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida Gulf Coast vs North Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida Gulf Coast will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida Gulf Coast has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Florida Gulf Coast have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Florida Gulf Coast has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida Gulf Coast has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Florida Gulf Coast have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • North Florida have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Florida has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Florida Gulf Coast Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida Gulf Coast has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.75% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -46.01% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI

North Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Florida has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.64% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -12.53% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 2.98% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.87% ROI

Florida Gulf Coast Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Gulf Coast has made 8.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Florida Gulf Coast is shooting 44% (1,425/3,219) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida Gulf Coast has 16.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Florida Gulf Coast has 609 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th most among Atlantic Sun Teams

North Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Florida has made 12.0 three-pointers per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

North Florida has made 11.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

North Florida has an eFG% of 54% this season — 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

North Florida has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Florida Gulf Coast Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Gulf Coast has averaged 5.4 steals per game (130 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida Gulf Coast has allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Florida Gulf Coast has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (215/593) this season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida Gulf Coast has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

North Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 47% from three (43/92) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Florida has averaged 5.4 steals per game (300 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Florida has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

North Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (687/1,493) this season — tied for 28th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.