Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Kentucky (12-7) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Florida (8-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 171.5 points
  • Florida / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN

The Florida Gators (8-11) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (12-7) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Florida vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 171.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+5.5 -105O 171.5 -110+210
Kentucky -5.5 -115U 171.5 -110-275

Florida vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.15 Units / -18.82% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 1.34% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 19.55% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -4.86% ROI
  • 14-5 when betting the Over for +8.5 Units / 40.57% ROI
  • 5-14 when betting the Under for -10.35 Units / -49.64% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.2 offensive rebounds per game (324 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Florida has averaged 16.2 offensive rebounds per game (324 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.1

Florida has averaged 85.4 points per game (1,708 points/20 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.2

Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (345/504) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (329 assists/ 177 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has averaged 89.9 points per game (1,619 points/18 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.5

Kentucky is shooting 40% from three (82/207) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (329 assists/ 177 TOs) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,439 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (570 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (136 steals/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (227 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/18 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Kentucky has allowed 68.8 points per game (2,338 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.9

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (244/560) in the second half this season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (847/2,010) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.