- North Carolina (18-13) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Florida State (16-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Florida State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The Florida State Seminoles (16-15) visit Capital One Arena to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (18-13) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Florida State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Florida State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida State | +10.5 -105 | O 154.5 -105 | +475 |
| North Carolina | -10.5 -115 | U 154.5 -115 | -650 |
Florida State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Florida State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.27% ROI).
- 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -13.35% ROI
- 21-11 when betting the Over for +8.9 Units / 25.28% ROI
- 11-21 when betting the Under for -12.1 Units / -34.38% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.65 Units / 10.67% ROI).
- 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -14.04% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.71% ROI
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has a TS% of 46% this season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (292/430) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%
Florida State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (335/489) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Florida State has averaged 12.3 turnovers per game (270 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.2
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (204 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Florida State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (209 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Florida State has 209 steals this season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
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