Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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A coach dressed in a black tracksuit, signalling to players
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:27 AM
  • UNLV (10-7) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (8-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Fresno State / UNLV TV channel: FS1

The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-11) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (10-7) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Fresno State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+8.5 -115O 141.5 -115+310
UNLV -8.5 -105U 141.5 -105-400

Fresno State vs UNLV Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Fresno State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.15 Units / -19.76% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -12.74% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.4 Units / 23.47% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 23.45% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (335/1,053) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (239 assists/ 257 TOs) this season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (203/312) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 71%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (621 assists/ 615 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,361 points/1,094 shots) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.32

UNLV has a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

UNLV is shooting 34% from three (397/1,161) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV has averaged 74.7 points per game (3,737 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.3

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (380/1,007) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (153/402) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed 7.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Fresno State has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.7

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.0 turnovers per game (802 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.4

UNLV has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (423 rebounds/18 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.4

UNLV has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,172 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

UNLV has allowed 70.4 points per game (3,522 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 68.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.