Gonzaga vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 11:05 AM
  • Kentucky (13-9) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Gonzaga (10-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 169.5 points
  • Gonzaga / Kentucky TV channel: CBS

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (10-12) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (13-9) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 169.5 total points.

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Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Gonzaga+4.5 -110O 169.5 -110+165
Kentucky -4.5 -110U 169.5 -110-200

Gonzaga vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Gonzaga vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Gonzaga has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Gonzaga has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Gonzaga Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Gonzaga has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.86% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -9.59% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -6.98% ROI
  • 17-5 when betting the Over for +11.5 Units / 47.42% ROI
  • 5-17 when betting the Under for -13.65 Units / -56.52% ROI

Gonzaga Offensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga is shooting 52% (1,895/3,677) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Gonzaga is shooting 52% (1,895/3,677) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Gonzaga has averaged 85.7 points per game (5,054 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Gonzaga has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (960 assists/ 624 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky is shooting 39% from three (94/240) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Gonzaga Defensive Stats & Trends:

Gonzaga has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (648 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Gonzaga has averaged 27.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,645 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Gonzaga has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (31/114) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Gonzaga has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (538/1,376) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (600 rebounds/21 games) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,476 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.