Illinois vs Iowa State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 28

(AP Photo)
  • March Madness prediction & betting odds
  • Iowa State (25-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Illinois (20-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Illinois / Iowa State TV channel: TBS

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-13) visit TD Garden to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (25-10) on Mar. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:09pm EDT in Boston, MA.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Illinois vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+1.5 -105O 146.5 -115+110
Iowa State -1.5 -115U 146.5 -105-135

Illinois vs Iowa State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 56.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 29 games (+18.45 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+17.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+16.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+16.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 20-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.65 Units / 14.25% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 5.36% ROI
  • 26-10 when betting the Over for +14.95 Units / 37.7% ROI
  • 10-26 when betting the Under for -18.6 Units / -47.03% ROI

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 25-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+14 Units / 35.44% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 13.04% ROI
  • 17-19 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -9.85% ROI
  • 19-17 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 0.76% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 980 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has attempted 1,046 threes at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has 448 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has made 585 free throws this season — most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa St. averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Iowa St. shot 38% from three (23/61) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 4.3 steals per game (147 steals/34 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (209 turnovers/25 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Illinois has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,875 rebounds/67 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Illinois has averaged 4.3 steals per game (147 steals/34 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has forced 17.0 turnovers per game (1,158 turnovers/68 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Iowa State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (656 steals/68 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Iowa State has forced 17.5 turnovers per game (611 turnovers/35 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa State has forced 16.4 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.