Illinois vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:29 AM
  • Illinois (12-9) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Maryland (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Illinois / Maryland TV channel: FOX

The Illinois Fighting Illini (12-9) visit Xfinity Center to take on the Maryland Terrapins (10-15) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in College Park, MD.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Illinois vs. Maryland Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-2.5 -110O 139.5 -110-145
Maryland +2.5 -110U 139.5 -110+120

Illinois vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 56.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+4.70 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.05 Units / 7.77% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.73% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Over for +7.2 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Under for -9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -5.47% ROI
  • 8-17 when betting the Over for -10.7 Units / -38.91% ROI
  • 17-8 when betting the Under for +8.2 Units / 29.82% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland is shooting 29% from three (144/502) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland is shooting 31% from three (377/1,212) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Maryland has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (255 assists/ 292 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Maryland is shooting 41% (529/1,293) this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has allowed 63.1 points per game (883 points/14 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Maryland has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (114/398) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Maryland has allowed 63.0 points per game (1,450 points/23 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.