Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 10:47 AM
  • Michigan State (12-10) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Illinois (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Illinois / Michigan State TV channel: CBS

The Illinois Fighting Illini (11-8) visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (12-10) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Illinois vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+3.5 -110O 146.5 -110+140
Michigan State -3.5 -110U 146.5 -110-165

Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.15 Units / 8.88% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.91% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 3.95% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -18.28% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.35 Units / -17.13% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2.05 Units / 8.13% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 13.9 offensive rebounds per game (305 rebounds/22 games) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (435/1,359) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (462 assists/ 433 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (694 assists/ 672 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (400 assists/ 231 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (408/1,068) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (897 assists/ 601 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 47% (638/1,349) this season — 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,532 points/1,427 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,532 points/1,427 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 30.0 defensive rebounds per game (659 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (236/653) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (634/1,635) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (419/1,313) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed 65.0 points per game (1,495 points/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.