Illinois vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

Penn State head coach Mike Rhoades speaks during Big Ten NCAA college basketball Media Days Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
  • Illinois (13-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Penn State (12-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Illinois / Penn State TV channel: BTN

The Illinois Fighting Illini (13-9) visit Rec Hall to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in University Park, PA.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Illinois vs. Penn State Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois-7.5 -110O 157.5 -110-350
Penn State +7.5 -110U 157.5 -110+270

Illinois vs Penn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Penn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.05 Units / 11.07% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 2.03% ROI
  • 17-8 when betting the Over for +8.2 Units / 29.82% ROI
  • 8-17 when betting the Under for -10.7 Units / -38.91% ROI

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.35 Units / -11.73% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 2.81% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 17.07% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.67% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has attempted 733 threes on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 260 three-pointers on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State has made 566 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Penn State is shooting 36% from three (566/1,551) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Penn State has averaged 8.9 steals per game (204 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Penn State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.