Illinois State vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:32 AM
  • Missouri State (9-8) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Illinois State / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (6-11) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (9-8) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Illinois State vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+6.5 -115O 135.5 -110+220
Missouri State -6.5 -105U 135.5 -110-275

Illinois State vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Missouri State vs Illinois State and all games with BetMGM


  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -15.53% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -4.27% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 10.38% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 27% from three (107/397) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has averaged 66.4 points per game (3,320 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Illinois State has averaged 66.4 points per game (3,320 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Illinois State has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (680 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 528 defensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 67.4 points per game (3,370 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State is shooting 32% from three (136/428) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 12.0 assists per game (602 assists/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (104 steals/18 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (287 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has allowed 69.1 points per game (1,243 points/18 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.9

Illinois State has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (209 turnovers/18 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 9.4 turnovers per game (170 turnovers/18 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (119/398) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,254 points/1,136 shots) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Missouri State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (276 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.