Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:32 AM
  • Murray State (9-11) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (8-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Illinois State / Murray State TV channel: ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (8-12) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (9-11) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Illinois State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+7.5 -110O 133.5 -110+250
Murray State -7.5 -110U 133.5 -110-300

Illinois State vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has a 8-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -9.54% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -23.29% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.2 Units / 14.48% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 9-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.15 Units / -14.29% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -29.83% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -23.87% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.14% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State is shooting 27% from three (123/459) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has a 38% free throw rate (448 free throw attempts/1,171 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%

Illinois State is shooting 31% from three (355/1,149) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois State has 225 offensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (202 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (202 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Murray State has averaged 71.0 points per game (1,490 points/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.7

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (304 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (304 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (121 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (147/431) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (301 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (301 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (171/481) this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (536/1,172) this season — tied for 29th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.