Illinois vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:04 PM
  • Wisconsin (11-16) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Illinois (14-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Illinois / Wisconsin TV channel: BTN

The Illinois Fighting Illini (14-11) visit Kohl Center to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (11-16) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Madison, WI.

Wisconsin is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Illinois vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+3.5 -115O 152.5 -110+135
Wisconsin -3.5 -105U 152.5 -110-160

Illinois vs Wisconsin Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this college basketball game with 59.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Illinois vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.11% ROI
  • 20-8 when betting the Over for +11.2 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • 8-20 when betting the Under for -14 Units / -45.45% ROI

Wisconsin Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wisconsin has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.85 Units / -35.17% ROI).

  • 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -5.22% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (543 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Wisconsin has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (543 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Wisconsin has averaged 4.1 turnovers per game (243 turnovers/59 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Wisconsin has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (543 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wisconsin has allowed 65.5 points per game (3,867 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Wisconsin has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (810/1,867) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Wisconsin has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,423/3,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Wisconsin has allowed 62.7 points per game (2,196 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.