Indiana vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:34 PM
  • Illinois (10-6) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Indiana (8-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Indiana / Illinois TV channel: FOX

The Indiana Hoosiers (8-10) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (10-6) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Indiana vs. Illinois Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Indiana vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana+15.5 -115O 154.5 -110+800
Illinois -15.5 -105U 154.5 -110-1400

Indiana vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Indiana vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)

Indiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 8.6% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / 16.27% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -5.94% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana has made 5.3 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Indiana is shooting 51% (751/1,487) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Indiana has made 5.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Indiana is shooting 48% (1,504/3,107) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,572 points/1,197 shots) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (436 assists/ 410 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (436 assists/ 410 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Illinois has averaged 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (641 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana has averaged 5.9 steals per game (113 steals/19 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Indiana has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,439 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (300/896) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Indiana has allowed 74.3 points per game (1,411 points/19 games) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (1,311 points/1,245 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (1,311 points/1,245 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Illinois has averaged 30.2 defensive rebounds per game (573 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.3

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,527 points/3,179 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.