Indiana State vs Evansville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:30 PM
  • Indiana State (16-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Evansville (17-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • Indiana State / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+

The Indiana State Sycamores (16-11) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (17-11) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Indiana State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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Indiana State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana State-9.5 -110O 157.5 -115-550
Evansville +9.5 -110U 157.5 -105+380

Indiana State vs Evansville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Indiana State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Indiana State will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.44% ROI).

  • 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -3.45% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.05% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.45 Units / -17.78% ROI

Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Evansville has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 18.93% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -21.29% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 13.4% ROI

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has attempted 1,656 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 1.16 points per shot (3,821 points/3,307 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Evansville has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Evansville has averaged 67.0 points per game (3,821 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Evansville has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (201 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (693 rebounds/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Indiana State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,682 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Evansville has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Evansville has averaged 6.7 steals per game (384 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Evansville has 384 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Evansville has averaged 6.4 steals per game (160 steals/25 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.