Iowa State vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:14 AM
  • Texas (8-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Iowa State (14-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Iowa State / Texas TV channel: LHN

The Iowa State Cyclones (14-7) visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (8-14) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Iowa State vs. Texas Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State+2.5 -115O 139.5 -110+110
Texas -2.5 -105U 139.5 -110-135

Iowa State vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+16.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+4.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 14-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 5.04% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.16% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.09% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -12.68% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/32 games) last season — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Iowa St. shot 53% off the dribble (107/203) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa State has averaged 79.9 points per game (1,677 points/21 games) this season — tied for 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has forced 18.3 turnovers per game (384 turnovers/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Iowa State has forced 17.2 turnovers per game (931 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

Iowa State has averaged 11.1 steals per game (233 steals/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed 4.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 0.3 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.