Kansas vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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Baylor basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:03 PM
  • Baylor (16-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Kansas (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Kansas / Baylor TV channel: ABC

The Kansas Jayhawks (12-15) visit Foster Pavillion to take on the Baylor Bears (16-9) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Waco, TX.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Kansas vs. Baylor Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas+5.5 -115O 144.5 -110+185
Baylor -5.5 -105U 144.5 -110-225

Kansas vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Baylor vs Kansas and all games with BetMGM


  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Kansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.41% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.61% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.12% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -1.51% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 16-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.1 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 7.5% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -1.51% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.35 Units / -7.97% ROI

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas has averaged 20.3 assists per game (487 assists/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Kansas made 109 field goals in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas scored 258 points in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas had a TS% of 56% in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed an average of 0.58 points per shot (42 points/73 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 34% (74/218) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.