Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

AP Photos
  • Kansas (12-16) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (15-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Kansas State / Kansas TV channel: ESPN

The Kansas State Wildcats (15-14) visit Allen Fieldhouse to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (12-16) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lawrence, KS.

Kansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Kansas State vs. Kansas Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State+11.5 -115O 143.5 -110+450
Kansas -11.5 -105U 143.5 -110-650

Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Kansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.69% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.35% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.69% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.4% ROI

Kansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -14.56% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.66% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -5.01% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 129 three-pointers in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas has averaged 20.3 assists per game (487 assists/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Kansas made 109 field goals in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas scored 258 points in transition last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas had a TS% of 56% in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (287/952) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (814 points/539 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed an average of 0.58 points per shot (42 points/73 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three (14/73) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kansas allowed opponents to shoot 34% (74/218) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 42%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.