Kansas State vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 19, 2024, 8:15 AM
  • Texas (9-16) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (12-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Kansas State / Texas TV channel: ESPN2

The Kansas State Wildcats (12-13) visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns (9-16) on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Austin, TX.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Kansas State vs. Texas Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Kansas State vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas State+8.5 -110O 141.5 -110+310
Texas -8.5 -110U 141.5 -110-400

Kansas State vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 81.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kansas State vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+15.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.35 Units / -15.85% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -12.32% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.28% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 9-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.65 Units / -31.4% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.17% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.85% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.25 Units / -15.54% ROI

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 129 three-pointers in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas had an eFG% of 63% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas is shooting 41% from three (102/250) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (287/952) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (814 points/539 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed an average of 1.88 points per shot (60 points/32 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas allowed 4.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 5.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.