Kentucky vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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The coach from LSU Tigers clapping his hands in encouragement
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2024, 10:05 AM
  • Kentucky (15-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs LSU (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
  • Kentucky / LSU TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats (15-10) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (11-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Baton Rouge, LA.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. LSU Over/Under is 163.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky-6.5 -110O 163.5 -110-275
LSU +6.5 -110U 163.5 -110+225

Kentucky vs LSU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 26 games (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -5.28% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Over for +10.3 Units / 37.39% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Under for -12.75 Units / -46.45% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.35 Units / -15.88% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 6.82% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (294 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (131 assists/ 141 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (271 assists/ 294 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has forced 13.7 turnovers per game (302 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.2

LSU has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (269/674) in the second half this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 43%

LSU has allowed 35.3 points per game (776 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.